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Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 16:07

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.34.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 5 1.8 1/2
2 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu 9 9.0 1/2
3 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 3 8.8 3/4
4 0 HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B H Bentley · F C Lor 1 18.0 2
5 0 MEANINGFUL STAR Led early B M F Poon · K W Lui 10 11.0 2
6 0 BEAUTY LIVE CP1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 15.0 3
7 0 BUTTERFIELD CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 4 19.0 3-1/4
8 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu 6 37.0 3-1/2
9 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 8.3 8-1/4
10 0 TURIN REDSUN B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 2 31.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SPIRITED EXPRESS second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING—2. SPIRITED EXPRESS+0.5L3. THE BEST PEACH+0.75L4. HAVA NAGEELA+2L5. MEANINGFUL STAR+2L6. BEAUTY LIVE+3L7. BUTTERFIELD+3.25L8. PRIME MINISTER+3.5L9. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+8.25L10. TURIN REDSUN+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick THE BEST PEACH (16.1%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER SUNNY SING was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 THE BEST PEACH 16.1% 6.20 3
2 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 15.9% 6.28 1
3 0 HAVA NAGEELA 15.6% 6.42 4
4 0 MEANINGFUL STAR 12.8% 7.80 5
5 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS 11.8% 8.46 2
6 0 BUTTERFIELD 9.2% 10.85 7
7 0 BEAUTY LIVE 8.4% 11.96 6
8 0 PRIME MINISTER 3.6% 27.58 8
9 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 3.5% 28.84 9
10 0 TURIN REDSUN 3.1% 32.75 10
THE BEST PEACHSUPER SUNNY SING — wonHAVA NAGEELAMEANINGFUL STARSPIRITED EXPRESSBUTTERFIELDBEAUTY LIVEPRIME MINISTERALL FOR ST PAUL'STURIN REDSUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 10.5

2 22.5

8 22.5

QUINELLA

1,2 72

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 31

1,8 30

2,8 86.5

FORECAST

1,2 88

TIERCE

1,2,8 400

TRIO

1,2,8 122

FIRST 4

1,2,4,8 418

QUARTET

1,2,8,4 3,559

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

7/1 708

7/2 662