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Sha Tin · 2023-10-01 · 08:08

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-01 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SPIRITED EXPRESS second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.34.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 5 1.8 1/2
2 2 SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu 9 9.0 1/2
3 8 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 3 8.8 3/4
4 4 HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B H Bentley · F C Lor 1 18.0 2
5 6 MEANINGFUL STAR Led early B M F Poon · K W Lui 10 11.0 2
6 5 BEAUTY LIVE CP1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 15.0 3
7 3 BUTTERFIELD CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 4 19.0 3-1/4
8 10 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu 6 37.0 3-1/2
9 7 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 8.3 8-1/4
10 9 TURIN REDSUN B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 2 31.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING2. SPIRITED EXPRESS+0.5L3. THE BEST PEACH+0.75L4. HAVA NAGEELA+2L5. MEANINGFUL STAR+2L6. BEAUTY LIVE+3L7. BUTTERFIELD+3.25L8. PRIME MINISTER+3.5L9. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+8.25L10. TURIN REDSUN+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick THE BEST PEACH (16.1%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER SUNNY SING was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 THE BEST PEACH 16.1% 6.20 3
2 1 SUPER SUNNY SING 15.9% 6.28 1
3 4 HAVA NAGEELA 15.6% 6.42 4
4 6 MEANINGFUL STAR 12.8% 7.80 5
5 2 SPIRITED EXPRESS 11.8% 8.46 2
6 3 BUTTERFIELD 9.2% 10.85 7
7 5 BEAUTY LIVE 8.4% 11.96 6
8 10 PRIME MINISTER 3.6% 27.58 8
9 7 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 3.5% 28.84 9
10 9 TURIN REDSUN 3.1% 32.75 10
THE BEST PEACHSUPER SUNNY SING — wonHAVA NAGEELAMEANINGFUL STARSPIRITED EXPRESSBUTTERFIELDBEAUTY LIVEPRIME MINISTERALL FOR ST PAUL'STURIN REDSUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 10.5

2 22.5

8 22.5

QUINELLA

1,2 72

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 31

1,8 30

2,8 86.5

FORECAST

1,2 88

TIERCE

1,2,8 400

TRIO

1,2,8 122

FIRST 4

1,2,4,8 418

QUARTET

1,2,8,4 3,559

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

7/1 708

7/2 662