跑馬地 · 2023-10-04 · 13:48
第 6場
2023-10-04跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的DENFIELD勝出，贏出N。GOLDEN LINK獲得亞軍；HIGH PERCENTAGE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DENFIELD TT 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 7 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | FLAMING EAGLE V-/PC2/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SPEEDSTAR B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 8 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | LESLIE B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HEARTY WISH B/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED WARRIORS XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | AUGUST MOON V/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 3 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | NINJA DERBY H1/XB1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 99.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DENFIELD | 41.4% | 2.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | FLAMING EAGLE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 8.4% | 11.88 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | COMPASSION SUPER | 8.1% | 12.37 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 7.9% | 12.58 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | SPEEDSTAR | 7.0% | 14.24 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.5% | 18.29 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR | 4.3% | 23.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | LESLIE | 3.2% | 30.96 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | AUGUST MOON | 2.5% | 40.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | UNITED WARRIORS | 1.6% | 61.90 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 0.5% | 201.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 16.5
PLACE
1 10.5
5 19
7 24
QUINELLA
1,5 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 26.5
1,7 32.5
5,7 66
FORECAST
1,5 84
TIERCE
1,5,7 301
TRIO
1,5,7 121
FIRST 4
1,5,7,10 188
QUARTET
1,5,7,10 1,358
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/1,5,7 69,486
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 224.5
5/5 72.5
7/1 143.5
7/5 95.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,11/1,5,7/1,5,7 1,096,846
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,11/1,5,7/Any Combination 21,936