跑馬地 · 2023-10-04 · 14:20
第 7場
2023-10-04跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的COPARTNER AMBITION勝出，贏出1。LYRICAL MOTION獲得亞軍；RIGHTEOUS ARION獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION B2/TT 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | JOY COMING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 9 | 50.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | LEAN MASTER TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 97.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TACTICAL COMMAND K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 11 | 127.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | MR MAJESTIC CP/SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | AFFIRM TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 8 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | UNISON H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 23.4% | 4.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 15.0% | 6.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY | 14.7% | 6.80 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION | 12.3% | 8.10 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | JOY COMING | 9.2% | 10.91 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | MR MAJESTIC | 8.5% | 11.77 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.5% | 22.24 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | AFFIRM | 4.3% | 23.26 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 4.3% | 23.35 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | H Z TOURBILLON | 2.4% | 41.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 0.8% | 124.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | LEAN MASTER | 0.6% | 173.60 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 27
PLACE
1 15.5
4 11.5
11 27
QUINELLA
4,11 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 22
1,11 49.5
4,11 43
FORECAST
4,11 142
TIERCE
4,11,1 499
TRIO
1,4,11 106
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 308
QUARTET
4,11,1,2 5,733
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 48
1/11 21