跑馬地 · 2023-10-11 · 14:55
第 8場
2023-10-11跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的LIGHTNING BOLT勝出，贏出N。SUGAR SUGAR獲得亞軍；GALLANT WAKING獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT 1.09.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | STREET CONQUEROR TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | JOLLY RULER B-/H H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 8 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SWIFT ASCEND XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 8.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 4 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 91.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | AORAKI SUMMIT CP1 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 70.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 37.5% | 2.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING | 11.4% | 8.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | STREET CONQUEROR | 10.8% | 9.28 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR | 8.9% | 11.21 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | JOLLY RULER | 7.1% | 14.02 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 6.3% | 15.94 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 4.9% | 20.28 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR | 4.8% | 20.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 2.7% | 36.65 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | SWIFT ASCEND | 2.7% | 37.62 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.0% | 50.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.0% | 102.23 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 35.5
PLACE
3 17.5
5 14.5
7 19
QUINELLA
5,7 97
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 30
3,7 40.5
5,7 36.5
FORECAST
5,7 188
TIERCE
5,7,3 414
TRIO
3,5,7 97
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 119
QUARTET
5,7,3,10 1,822
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/2/5 3,727
7/2/7 446
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/3,5,7 2,182
7TH DOUBLE
2/5 265.5
2/7 24.5
SIX UP
6,8/4,6/5,6/1,7/2,7/5,7 38,035
9 [Y L Chung] —
10 [C S Shum] —