跑馬地 · 2023-10-18 · 10:50
第 1場
2023-10-18跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的ALLOY KING勝出，贏出2。HAPPILY FRIENDS獲得亞軍；MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門MODEST GENTLEMAN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ALLOY KING V 1.10.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 4 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN PC-/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | VALHALLA XB/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 12 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H-/TT- H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 111.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | MIRACLES B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 4.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FINGERS CROSSED B/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM B2 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 31.0 | 21-1/2 |
| — | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT H/CP1/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 11 | 21.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MIRACLES | 19.4% | 5.15 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 13.7% | 7.31 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 13.3% | 7.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 12.7% | 7.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 10.1% | 9.87 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | VALHALLA | 9.9% | 10.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 6.3% | 15.87 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | ALLOY KING | 5.0% | 20.10 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | STARRY NIGHT | 3.6% | 27.47 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO | 3.1% | 32.54 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | FINGERS CROSSED | 2.9% | 34.46 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 214
PLACE
3 15.5
6 60
9 20
QUINELLA
6,9 547.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 146
3,9 53
6,9 156.5
FORECAST
6,9 1,026
TIERCE
6,9,3 3,905
TRIO
3,6,9 399
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 1,246
QUARTET
6,9,3,10 36,344