跑馬地 · 2023-10-18 · 12:50
第 5場
2023-10-18跑馬地第5場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bentley策騎、P C Ng訓練的HEALTHY HEALTHY勝出,贏出N。ACT OF FAITH獲得亞軍;TOGEPI獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門ROUND THE GLOBE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H-/TT2 1.10.50 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 9.2 | N |
| 2 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | TOGEPI B/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 8 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA B1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ROUND THE GLOBE B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KASI FARASI B K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | MR GOOD VIBES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 62.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA | 18.4% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 13.9% | 7.18 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | TOGEPI | 12.7% | 7.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME | 11.2% | 8.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.2% | 16.08 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 5.4% | 18.40 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | MR GOOD VIBES | 5.2% | 19.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH | 4.0% | 25.04 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED | 3.9% | 25.87 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 27.15 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 92
PLACE
2 34.5
4 17.5
9 29.5
QUINELLA
2,9 660
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 94
2,9 187
4,9 88
FORECAST
9,2 1,194
TIERCE
9,2,4 6,687
TRIO
2,4,9 1,029
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 941
QUARTET
9,2,4,1 29,464
全部彩池(另 3 項)
1ST TREBLE
10/2/2 7,822
10/2/9 43,821
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,4,9 56,479
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 54
2/9 585.5