Happy Valley · 2023-10-18 · 12:50
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HEALTHY HEALTHY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with ACT OF FAITH second and TOGEPI third. The 3.4 favourite ROUND THE GLOBE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H-/TT2 1.10.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 9.2 | N |
| 2 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | TOGEPI B/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 8 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA B1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ROUND THE GLOBE B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KASI FARASI B K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | MR GOOD VIBES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 62.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA | 18.4% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 13.9% | 7.18 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | TOGEPI | 12.7% | 7.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME | 11.2% | 8.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.2% | 16.08 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 5.4% | 18.40 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | MR GOOD VIBES | 5.2% | 19.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH | 4.0% | 25.04 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM SPEED | 3.9% | 25.87 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 27.15 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 92
PLACE
2 34.5
4 17.5
9 29.5
QUINELLA
2,9 660
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 94
2,9 187
4,9 88
FORECAST
9,2 1,194
TIERCE
9,2,4 6,687
TRIO
2,4,9 1,029
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 941
QUARTET
9,2,4,1 29,464
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/2/2 7,822
10/2/9 43,821
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,4,9 56,479
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 54
2/9 585.5