Happy Valley · 2023-10-18 · 12:20
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-18 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with MIGHTY STAR second and DOUBLE SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB 1.41.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MIGHTY STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW Closed strongly P/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TRAVEL GUIDE Closed strongly CP-/XB-/B1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 17.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY NOVA H/CP1/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 7 | 10.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Led early H/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 12 | 20.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY MATADOR XB-/B/TT2 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 72.0 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 27.6% | 3.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW | 15.9% | 6.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 13.5% | 7.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 9.2% | 10.82 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 8.0% | 12.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 5.3% | 18.83 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | TURTLE AGAIN | 5.2% | 19.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.8% | 20.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | MIGHTY STAR | 4.1% | 24.56 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER BUDDY | 2.8% | 36.22 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY MATADOR | 1.9% | 52.76 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.6% | 62.07 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 28.5
PLACE
2 15.5
7 23.5
9 39
QUINELLA
2,9 194
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 47
2,9 74.5
7,9 193.5
FORECAST
2,9 286
TIERCE
2,9,7 2,434
TRIO
2,7,9 539
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 1,496
QUARTET
2,9,7,5 21,654
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/2 3,613.5
10/9 1,567.5