Happy Valley · 2023-10-18 · 11:25
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-18 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DIAMOND SOARS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with HAPPY UNITED second and AMAZING ACE third. The 3.0 favourite GORGEOUS VITALITY finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS TT 0.57.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | AMAZING ACE B-/TT1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TELECOM SPIRIT B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | NISHIKADO B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE B- A Hamelin · M Newnham | A Hamelin | M Newnham | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | BOOMBAYAH H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 11 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMPION B1/TT1 L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 17.9% | 5.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 12.3% | 8.15 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 12.0% | 8.36 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 11.0% | 9.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 9.4% | 10.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 9.1% | 11.01 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.80 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE | 7.3% | 13.64 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | NISHIKADO | 4.4% | 22.54 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | ACE TALENT | 4.2% | 23.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING ACE | 2.9% | 34.09 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | BOOMBAYAH | 1.7% | 57.39 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 65
PLACE
2 34.5
5 32.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
5,12 350
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 240.5
2,12 139
5,12 120.5
FORECAST
12,5 678
TIERCE
12,5,2 10,432
TRIO
2,5,12 1,793
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 3,485
QUARTET
12,5,2,1 72,086
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/5 311
6/12 1,207