Happy Valley · 2023-10-18 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with SON PAK FU second and TORONADO PHANTOM third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT 1.10.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 2 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FUN N GLORY E/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCKY EIGHT B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SAVVY CHIC TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION B-/XB/TT K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 3 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 99.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | HOSS XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | AMAZING RUN B1 K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 4.3 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALL ME DANDY | 25.3% | 3.96 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 17.1% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 11.0% | 9.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | HOSS | 7.8% | 12.81 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY EIGHT | 7.4% | 13.44 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY GOR | 6.7% | 14.90 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | SAVVY CHIC | 6.2% | 16.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | FUN N GLORY | 5.3% | 18.94 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 4.8% | 21.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY MISSION | 4.3% | 23.23 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | AMAZING RUN | 3.5% | 28.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.6% | 167.49 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 28
PLACE
1 24.5
6 36
10 14
QUINELLA
1,10 168
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 166
1,10 60.5
6,10 76.5
FORECAST
10,1 320
TIERCE
10,1,6 2,381
TRIO
1,6,10 617
FIRST 4
1,6,10,11 2,114
QUARTET
10,1,6,11 31,955
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/12/1 897
4/12/10 3,302
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,6,10 28,946
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 89
12/10 347
SIX UP
2,9/2,9/8,11/4,12/3,12/1,10 10,356
2/9/11/4/12/10 1,336,458
4 [H Bentley] —
14 [D J Hall], 21 [Others] —