跑馬地 · 2023-11-01 · 13:45
第 7場
2023-11-01跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C W Chang訓練的WOOD ON FIRE勝出，贏出N。TELECOM SPIRIT獲得亞軍；YOUNG LIFE FOREVER獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門SOLID SHALAA跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT 1.11.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | TELECOM SPIRIT B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GOLDEN RISE L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER ELITE H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HERO ICON TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | JOY COMING CP/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 2 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 7 | 60.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 74.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLID SHALAA | 19.4% | 5.15 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | JOY COMING | 19.1% | 5.24 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 15.2% | 6.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE | 9.9% | 10.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | HERO ICON | 9.1% | 10.95 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 7.1% | 14.05 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER ELITE | 6.8% | 14.71 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 4.0% | 25.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 3.3% | 30.07 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN RISE | 2.9% | 34.09 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 1.6% | 62.31 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 1.5% | 68.22 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 60
PLACE
3 19.5
4 22
10 42.5
QUINELLA
3,10 418
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 59.5
3,10 131.5
4,10 138
FORECAST
3,10 734
TIERCE
3,10,4 3,118
TRIO
3,4,10 641
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 3,092
QUARTET
3,10,4,6 62,044
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,12/3,4,10 59,603
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 132.5
3/10 57.5
TRIPLE TRIO
8,10,12/3,8,12/3,4,10 8,910,534
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
8,10,12/3,8,12/Any Combination 58,355