沙田 · 2023-12-10 · 09:30
第 9場
2023-12-10沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的GALAXY PATCH勝出，贏出2-3/4。THE HEIR獲得亞軍；BEAUTY WAVES獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門RAGING BLIZZARD跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALAXY PATCH B 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY WAVES XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | RAGING BLIZZARD A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V M Barzalona · C W Chang | M Barzalona | C W Chang | 13 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 11 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 99.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION XB C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 99.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | CHAMPION METHOD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 6 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 211.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 49.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 114.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | THE GREAT MASTER XB1/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 286.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALAXY PATCH | 23.6% | 4.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY WAVES | 14.8% | 6.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR | 9.5% | 10.55 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | THE HEIR | 8.5% | 11.73 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE | 8.4% | 11.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | CHAMPION METHOD | 4.1% | 24.41 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 3.1% | 32.32 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 2.2% | 45.49 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 1.9% | 51.55 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 1.5% | 66.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY | 1.3% | 76.46 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.5% | 200.32 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | THE GREAT MASTER | 0.3% | 307.51 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 31
PLACE
1 14
4 30
5 17.5
QUINELLA
1,4 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 59
1,5 31
4,5 82
FORECAST
1,4 198
TIERCE
1,4,5 624
TRIO
1,4,5 151
FIRST 4
1,4,5,14 109
QUARTET
1,4,5,14 1,858
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 49
2/4 31.5