Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 09:30
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 2-3/4, with THE HEIR second and BEAUTY WAVES third. The 2.9 favourite RAGING BLIZZARD finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALAXY PATCH B 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY WAVES XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | RAGING BLIZZARD A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V M Barzalona · C W Chang | M Barzalona | C W Chang | 13 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 11 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 99.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION XB C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 99.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | CHAMPION METHOD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 6 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 211.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 49.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 114.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | THE GREAT MASTER XB1/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 286.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALAXY PATCH | 23.6% | 4.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY WAVES | 14.8% | 6.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR | 9.5% | 10.55 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | THE HEIR | 8.5% | 11.73 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE | 8.4% | 11.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | CHAMPION METHOD | 4.1% | 24.41 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 3.1% | 32.32 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 2.2% | 45.49 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 1.9% | 51.55 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 1.5% | 66.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY | 1.3% | 76.46 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.5% | 200.32 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | THE GREAT MASTER | 0.3% | 307.51 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 31
PLACE
1 14
4 30
5 17.5
QUINELLA
1,4 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 59
1,5 31
4,5 82
FORECAST
1,4 198
TIERCE
1,4,5 624
TRIO
1,4,5 151
FIRST 4
1,4,5,14 109
QUARTET
1,4,5,14 1,858
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 49
2/4 31.5