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Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 17:28

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALAXY PATCH B 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng 3 3.1 2-3/4
2 0 THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 13.0 2-3/4
3 0 BEAUTY WAVES XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 9 4.2 3
4 0 RAGING BLIZZARD A Atzeni · J Size 8 2.9 3-1/4
5 0 SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 13.0 4-1/4
6 0 LADY'S CHOICE H/V M Barzalona · C W Chang 13 25.0 4-1/2
7 0 ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K De Melo · J Richards 11 79.0 4-3/4
8 0 HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip 5 99.0 5-1/2
9 0 JOLLY COMPANION XB C L Chau · K L Man 4 99.0 6-3/4
10 0 CHAMPION METHOD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 21.0 6-3/4
11 0 WINDICATOR FAMILY L Ferraris · D J Hall 12 211.0 7
12 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR V K C Leung · F C Lor 1 49.0 8
13 0 CALIFORNIA TOUCH H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 114.0 9-1/4
14 0 THE GREAT MASTER XB1/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 14 286.0 17

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 2-3/4, with THE HEIR second and BEAUTY WAVES third. The 2.9 favourite RAGING BLIZZARD finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY PATCH—2. THE HEIR+2.75L3. BEAUTY WAVES+3L4. RAGING BLIZZARD+3.25L5. SWEET BRIAR+4.25L6. LADY'S CHOICE+4.5L7. ARMOUR EAGLE+4.75L8. HAPPY DAILY+5.5L9. JOLLY COMPANION+6.75L10. CHAMPION METHOD+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (23.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALAXY PATCH 23.6% 4.23 1
2 0 RAGING BLIZZARD 20.2% 4.95 4
3 0 BEAUTY WAVES 14.8% 6.76 3
4 0 SWEET BRIAR 9.5% 10.55 5
5 0 THE HEIR 8.5% 11.73 2
6 0 LADY'S CHOICE 8.4% 11.88 6
7 0 CHAMPION METHOD 4.1% 24.41 10
8 0 CALIFORNIA TOUCH 3.1% 32.32 13
9 0 ARMOUR EAGLE 2.2% 45.49 7
10 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR 1.9% 51.55 12
11 0 JOLLY COMPANION 1.5% 66.15 9
12 0 HAPPY DAILY 1.3% 76.46 8
13 0 WINDICATOR FAMILY 0.5% 200.32 11
14 0 THE GREAT MASTER 0.3% 307.51 14
GALAXY PATCH — wonRAGING BLIZZARDBEAUTY WAVESSWEET BRIARTHE HEIRLADY'S CHOICECHAMPION METHODCALIFORNIA TOUCHARMOUR EAGLEMAJESTIC COLOURJOLLY COMPANIONHAPPY DAILYWINDICATOR FAMILYTHE GREAT MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 31

PLACE

1 14

4 30

5 17.5

QUINELLA

1,4 148.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 59

1,5 31

4,5 82

FORECAST

1,4 198

TIERCE

1,4,5 624

TRIO

1,4,5 151

FIRST 4

1,4,5,14 109

QUARTET

1,4,5,14 1,858

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

2/1 49

2/4 31.5