Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 16:48
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2.02.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 2.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LUXEMBOURG Closed strongly R Moore · A P O'Brien | R Moore | A P O'Brien | 10 | 8.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HISHI IGUAZU Closed strongly XB J Moreira · N Hori | J Moreira | N Hori | 2 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PROGNOSIS Closed strongly H Y Kawada · M Nakauchida | Y Kawada | M Nakauchida | 6 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 90.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROUSHAM PARK Closed strongly D Lane · H Tanaka | D Lane | H Tanaka | 11 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 126.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | HORIZON DORE M Barzalona · P Cottier | M Barzalona | P Cottier | 1 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 131.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with LUXEMBOURG second and HISHI IGUAZU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HISHI IGUAZU | 21.6% | 4.62 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 13.1% | 7.65 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LUXEMBOURG | 9.6% | 10.45 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 6.4% | 15.75 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PROGNOSIS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ROUSHAM PARK | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | HORIZON DORE | 4.4% | 22.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 3.7% | 27.16 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 3.6% | 27.95 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 23.5
PLACE
1 23
2 12.5
5 37.5
QUINELLA
1,2 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 42
1,5 157.5
2,5 60
FORECAST
2,1 113
TIERCE
2,1,5 1,087
TRIO
1,2,5 369
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 569
QUARTET
2,1,5,7 5,607
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,13/1,2,5 46,335
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 38
1/2 38