Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 13:39
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GLOBAL HARMONY Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 14 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 9 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ACCOLADE START Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 146.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly L Currie · M Newnham | L Currie | M Newnham | 2 | 143.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LOST CHILD B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 10 | 8.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER TT2 M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 11 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ Led early CP/H/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 6 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB BOY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with GLOBAL HARMONY second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 25.6% | 3.91 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 14.1% | 7.11 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 13.9% | 7.19 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ | 7.3% | 13.79 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | LOST CHILD | 7.1% | 14.18 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 6.5% | 15.28 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 5.9% | 17.07 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 5.6% | 17.88 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | READY TO WIN | 5.5% | 18.02 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 5.2% | 19.33 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.3% | 43.75 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BEER PALACE | 0.6% | 166.96 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | ACCOLADE START | 0.5% | 183.79 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 174
PLACE
4 34
6 40.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
6,9 309
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 271
4,9 103
6,9 103.5
FORECAST
6,9 778
TIERCE
6,9,4 9,639
TRIO
4,6,9 1,408
FIRST 4
4,6,9,11 4,647
QUARTET
6,9,4,11 124,651
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/6 429
9/9 15.5