Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 08:05
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and NAMUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.34.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 8 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | NAMUR Closed strongly H W Buick · T Takano | W Buick | T Takano | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SOUL RUSH Closed strongly B J Moreira · Y Ikee | J Moreira | Y Ikee | 11 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 6 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SERIFOS Closed strongly H Y Kawada · M Nakauchida | Y Kawada | M Nakauchida | 4 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LIM'S KOSCIUSZKO XB D Lane · D Meagher | D Lane | D Meagher | 2 | 110.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CAIRO XB/B1 R Moore · A P O'Brien | R Moore | A P O'Brien | 9 | 114.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | DIVINA H/XB/TT C Demuro · Y Tomomichi | C Demuro | Y Tomomichi | 7 | 174.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | DANON THE KID H Y Kitamura · T Yasuda | Y Kitamura | T Yasuda | 10 | 64.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | TRIBALIST Led early M Barzalona · A Fabre | M Barzalona | A Fabre | 13 | 78.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 28.5% | 3.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 18.3% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | SOUL RUSH | 9.6% | 10.38 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 8.3% | 12.07 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | CAIRO | 6.6% | 15.19 | 10 |
| 6 | 14 | DIVINA | 4.4% | 22.85 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | SERIFOS | 4.2% | 23.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | TRIBALIST | 4.2% | 23.80 | 14 |
| 9 | 3 | DANON THE KID | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 3.6% | 27.77 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | ENCOUNTERED | 2.9% | 34.50 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | NAMUR | 2.6% | 38.45 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.2% | 46.11 | 5 |
| 14 | 9 | LIM'S KOSCIUSZKO | 0.8% | 118.09 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 13.5
10 67
13 37
QUINELLA
1,10 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 131
1,13 71.5
10,13 411.5
FORECAST
1,10 565
TIERCE
1,10,13 6,969
TRIO
1,10,13 1,483
FIRST 4
1,5,10,13 2,443
QUARTET
1,10,13,5 37,132
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 368.5
10/10 315.5