Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 18:08
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.22.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 8.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB M Barzalona · D J Whyte | M Barzalona | D J Whyte | 5 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALACRITY B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 4 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL Closed strongly TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 58.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H/TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 11 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SAUVESTRE TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 93.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with DANCING CODE second and HELIOS EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite HELIOS EXPRESS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 24.1% | 4.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DANCING CODE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ALACRITY | 12.0% | 8.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 11.5% | 8.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 9.5% | 10.48 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 5.9% | 16.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.4% | 22.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 4.2% | 23.84 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 4.0% | 24.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 3.2% | 31.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.8% | 36.19 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.1% | 48.63 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL | 1.5% | 65.11 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 67.5
PLACE
7 14.5
9 22.5
12 20
QUINELLA
9,12 235.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 36.5
7,12 37.5
9,12 77
FORECAST
12,9 514
TIERCE
12,9,7 1,782
TRIO
7,9,12 171
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 1,157
QUARTET
12,9,7,6 29,621
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/1/9 78
2/1/12 314
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/7,9,12 3,025
9TH DOUBLE
1/9 57
1/12 169.5
SIX UP
1,9/8,10/1,10/1,2/1,4/9,12 3,040
1/10/1/2/1/12 19,536
2 [C S Shum] —
3 [K Teetan] —