Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 12:28
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GORGEOUS WIN TT 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 1.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | STORM RIDER K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPICY GOLD L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 14 | 124.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT H-/B1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FIGHTING MACHINE SR1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | HONG KONG HALL TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY GOLF J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PATCH OF TIME TT C Soumillon · K H Ting | C Soumillon | K H Ting | 8 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | COPARTNER PRANCE TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 54.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TEXAS MOON B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 62.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | JOYFUL SUPREME M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 239.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ROUND THE GLOBE XB1/TT2 M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 11 | 32.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GORGEOUS WIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/2, with STORM RIDER second and LUCKY PLANET third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GORGEOUS WIN | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET | 8.9% | 11.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | PATCH OF TIME | 7.9% | 12.68 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SPICY GOLD | 7.7% | 12.98 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY GOLF | 6.2% | 16.07 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 6.1% | 16.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | STORM RIDER | 5.3% | 19.03 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 5.0% | 20.05 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HONG KONG HALL | 4.1% | 24.32 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.7% | 26.85 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | ROUND THE GLOBE | 3.6% | 27.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | TEXAS MOON | 3.5% | 28.32 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL SUPREME | 0.4% | 275.48 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 16.5
PLACE
6 11
10 21.5
13 24
QUINELLA
6,10 73
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 32.5
6,13 35
10,13 86.5
FORECAST
6,10 96
TIERCE
6,10,13 381
TRIO
6,10,13 151
FIRST 4
6,9,10,13 2,796
QUARTET
6,10,13,9 20,474