Sha Tin · 2023-12-10 · 05:00
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-10 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DATA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly B 1.23.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN N GLORY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 60.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PO ON WAY Closed strongly B M Barzalona · K H Ting | M Barzalona | K H Ting | 7 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ARIEL B-/CP2/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR CLUB Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 5 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 14 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | G LINER H/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 2 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE Closed strongly B-/H A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | HERO ICON TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H-/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 116.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | FANCY STAR P/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 13 | 133.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT Led early CP1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ROMANTIC HERO J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CIRCUIT NINE | 16.7% | 6.00 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | WINNING DATA | 13.8% | 7.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | STAR CLUB | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | ARIEL | 9.6% | 10.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 9.6% | 10.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | G LINER | 7.7% | 12.97 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | MASSIVE TALENT | 5.9% | 16.84 | 14 |
| 9 | 10 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 5.1% | 19.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | HERO ICON | 4.9% | 20.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | FUN N GLORY | 3.7% | 27.18 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | PO ON WAY | 2.2% | 45.95 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | BULB PRINCE | 2.1% | 48.63 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | FANCY STAR | 0.5% | 207.95 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 33
PLACE
2 30
3 28
9 16.5
QUINELLA
2,9 256
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 118
2,9 89.5
3,9 59
FORECAST
9,2 378
TIERCE
9,2,3 1,461
TRIO
2,3,9 389
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 3,100
QUARTET
9,2,3,1 39,267
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/2 33.5
6/9 63.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,13/2,3,9 6,929