跑馬地 · 2023-12-13 · 13:15
第 6場
2023-12-13跑馬地第6場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的GOLDEN LONG勝出,贏出2。SHINKANSEN獲得亞軍;SEE U AGAIN獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門YOUNG LIFE FOREVER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLDEN LONG TT1 1.10.29 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE CP1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 3 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON B Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SIGHT VICTORY H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 136.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 17.6% | 5.69 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 17.5% | 5.70 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | MULTIDARLING | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 6.6% | 15.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF | 6.5% | 15.36 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 6.1% | 16.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | COMPASSION SUPER | 5.4% | 18.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 5.0% | 19.87 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN LONG | 4.9% | 20.32 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 3.8% | 26.04 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SIGHT VICTORY | 1.1% | 93.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 89.5
PLACE
6 34
7 26.5
12 46.5
QUINELLA
6,12 952
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 130.5
6,12 280.5
7,12 160.5
FORECAST
6,12 1,641
TIERCE
6,12,7 12,588
TRIO
6,7,12 1,502
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 5,040
QUARTET
6,12,7,3 98,230
全部彩池(另 1 項)
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 927.5
4/12 296