Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LONG, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with SHINKANSEN second and SEE U AGAIN third. The 3.6 favourite YOUNG LIFE FOREVER finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLDEN LONG TT1 1.10.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE CP1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 3 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON B Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SIGHT VICTORY H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 136.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 17.6% | 5.69 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 17.5% | 5.70 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | MULTIDARLING | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 6.6% | 15.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | TRAVEL GOLF | 6.5% | 15.36 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 6.1% | 16.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | COMPASSION SUPER | 5.4% | 18.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 5.0% | 19.87 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN LONG | 4.9% | 20.32 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 3.8% | 26.04 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SIGHT VICTORY | 1.1% | 93.50 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 89.5
PLACE
6 34
7 26.5
12 46.5
QUINELLA
6,12 952
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 130.5
6,12 280.5
7,12 160.5
FORECAST
6,12 1,641
TIERCE
6,12,7 12,588
TRIO
6,7,12 1,502
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 5,040
QUARTET
6,12,7,3 98,230
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 927.5
4/12 296