Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. DOUBLE SHOW, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with HAPPY HORSE second and SWEET DIAMOND third. The 1.7 favourite VAMOS finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT 0.57.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 2 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 121.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MASTER OF ALL TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 97.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GREAT DAYS CP/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 11 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MAGIC TRAVELLER TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | VAMOS B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 1.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DASHING GLORY B/XB1 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 7 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CALL ME MIGHTY B/H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 27.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VAMOS | 35.3% | 2.83 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY HORSE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.5% | 10.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | MULTIMORE | 9.1% | 10.98 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | SWEET DIAMOND | 5.8% | 17.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GREAT DAYS | 3.8% | 26.07 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | DASHING GLORY | 2.8% | 35.60 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | MASTER OF ALL | 2.3% | 44.30 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 1.7% | 60.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 1.5% | 65.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 1.4% | 72.74 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 72
PLACE
5 15.5
9 47
11 17.5
QUINELLA
5,11 138
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 125.5
5,11 39.5
9,11 141.5
FORECAST
11,5 338
TIERCE
11,5,9 4,966
TRIO
5,9,11 979
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 10,865
QUARTET
11,5,9,3 171,706