Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED Closed strongly TT 1.41.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 1 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GET THE MONIES Closed strongly B-/TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA A LA P/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 5.8 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 7.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING TRAVIS TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 5 | 33.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK Led early B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 81.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUPER CONTENTED, ridden by K De Melo and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with REGENCY HAPPY STAR second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite REGENCY HAPPY STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 17.6% | 5.67 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 11.4% | 8.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 11.3% | 8.86 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 10.7% | 9.31 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 9.0% | 11.05 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | GET THE MONIES | 6.5% | 15.44 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIRON | 5.7% | 17.43 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 5.0% | 20.14 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 4.6% | 21.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED | 2.8% | 35.39 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 1.9% | 53.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 116.5
PLACE
5 35
6 20
9 21.5
QUINELLA
5,6 437
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 148
5,9 105
6,9 77
FORECAST
5,6 912
TIERCE
5,6,9 7,450
TRIO
5,6,9 1,010
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 1,484
QUARTET
5,6,9,7 38,132
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/5 1,481
11/6 93.5