Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with BRAVE STAR second and A AMERIC TE SPECSO third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 3.6 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | BRAVE STAR XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BON'S A PEARLA PC-/B2 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRINCE OF PORTY TT1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY DAY B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 8 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FASHION LEGEND TT1 A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SAVVY CHIC CP1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 73.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | ACE VICTORY TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 15.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 25.8% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 12.5% | 8.00 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY DAY | 11.1% | 8.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 10.8% | 9.22 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SAVVY CHIC | 8.9% | 11.23 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | BON'S A PEARLA | 5.8% | 17.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 5.5% | 18.17 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | BRAVE STAR | 4.7% | 21.44 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT | 4.6% | 21.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | FASHION LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.39 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ACE VICTORY | 3.0% | 33.05 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 36.5
PLACE
3 35
6 16.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
3,7 242.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 73.5
3,7 83.5
6,7 32.5
FORECAST
7,3 400
TIERCE
7,3,6 1,818
TRIO
3,6,7 254
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 1,076
QUARTET
7,3,6,5 21,911
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/5/3 318
8/5/7 520
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/3,6,7 14,941
8TH DOUBLE
5/3 85
5/7 191
SIX UP
3/4/6/8/5/7 182,608
3,7/4,10/6,12/8,9/3,5/3,7 30,156
5 [K Teetan] —
1 [P C Ng] —