Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON STAR Wire to wire V/XB 1.41.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEATO B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STORMTROUPER B-/E/XB L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 4 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AROMATICA TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 153.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 8 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UP AND UP TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | GO HERO A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 72.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON STAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with STRONGEST BOY second and WIN WIN FIGHTER third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEATO | 22.9% | 4.37 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 10.5% | 9.52 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART FIGHTER | 9.7% | 10.36 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.2% | 19.33 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GO HERO | 4.8% | 20.66 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 4.7% | 21.29 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | STORMTROUPER | 4.3% | 23.14 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | UP AND UP | 1.5% | 66.92 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 1.3% | 77.40 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AROMATICA | 0.6% | 180.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 23
PLACE
7 30
8 12.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
8,9 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 52
7,9 109
8,9 40.5
FORECAST
8,9 160
TIERCE
8,9,7 864
TRIO
7,8,9 230
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 216
QUARTET
8,9,7,2 3,341
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,12/7,8,9 67,045
6TH DOUBLE
6/8 351.5
6/9 106.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,9,10/6,7,12/7,8,9 1,722,732
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,10/6,7,12/Any Combination 11,783