Happy Valley · 2023-12-13 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-13 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TOURBILLON PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with GALLANT WAKING second and MALDIVES third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Wire to wire TT 1.40.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 7 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 4 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FOOLISH HEART V1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | U S S CONSTITUTION Closed strongly B1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 40.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HOSS CP-/XB/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | LOYAL BABY H1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 72.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | THESIS A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 15.3% | 6.54 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 13.3% | 7.53 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | HOSS | 13.0% | 7.68 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | MALDIVES | 7.9% | 12.65 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 6.6% | 15.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | GALLANT WAKING | 6.0% | 16.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.9% | 17.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | FOOLISH HEART | 3.3% | 29.85 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | LOYAL BABY | 3.3% | 30.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 2.1% | 46.67 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 1.7% | 57.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 29
PLACE
3 27.5
5 15.5
9 26.5
QUINELLA
3,5 147
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 60
3,9 123
5,9 44.5
FORECAST
5,3 243
TIERCE
5,3,9 1,149
TRIO
3,5,9 342
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 401
QUARTET
5,3,9,7 7,445
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
8/3 56
8/5 145