沙田 · 2023-12-17 · 09:55
第 10場
2023-12-17沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的MUGEN勝出，贏出2-1/4。WUNDERBAR獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MUGEN 1.09.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | WUNDERBAR J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 9 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT2 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 13 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | AMAZING RUN B-/CP1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 12 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 3 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 14 | 61.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | KA YING VICTORY TT1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ALL IS GOOD B B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 6 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | MASTER STROKE K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 7 | 289.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 85.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | SAKEWIN CP/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 4 | 66.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RAGNARR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MODULECONSTRUCTION C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KA YING VICTORY | 38.4% | 2.60 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | WUNDERBAR | 21.7% | 4.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | MUGEN | 9.5% | 10.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 6.2% | 16.03 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 4.9% | 20.35 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 4.6% | 21.65 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.1% | 24.21 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 3.8% | 26.15 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA | 2.0% | 49.42 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.0% | 50.68 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SAKEWIN | 1.1% | 88.07 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 0.9% | 111.27 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | AMAZING RUN | 0.4% | 253.42 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | MASTER STROKE | 0.3% | 379.98 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 28.5
PLACE
3 50
7 14.5
11 20.5
QUINELLA
7,11 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 123
3,11 188.5
7,11 37.5
FORECAST
7,11 163
TIERCE
7,11,3 2,084
TRIO
3,7,11 608
FIRST 4
2,3,7,11 747
QUARTET
7,11,3,2 10,527
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/4/7 1,334
2/4/11 375
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,14/3,7,11 379,706
9TH DOUBLE
4/7 533.5
4/11 96.5
SIX UP
4,7/2,7/6,7,10/2,12/4,7/7,11 2,520
7/2/7,10/2/4/7 58,675
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size] —