沙田 · 2023-12-17 · 06:05
第 3場
2023-12-17沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的JAMES TAK勝出，贏出1-3/4。SPEEDY FORTUNE獲得亞軍；PATCH OF THETA獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門LOYAL BO BO跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JAMES TAK 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | PATCH OF THETA H1/XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | LOYAL BO BO Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 12 | 169.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | HAYDAY H1/P1/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 65.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RED ELEGANCE H/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 5 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORY B H1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 10 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MULTISUPER B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | FALCON COURT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 11 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 21.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | DASH AVENUE B1/TT1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 28.0 | 27-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | TOURBILLON FLOW TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 13 | 100.0 | 28-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY MISSION L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOYAL BO BO | 17.2% | 5.81 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | MULTISUPER | 13.1% | 7.62 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | PATCH OF THETA | 13.0% | 7.69 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER | 8.5% | 11.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | TOURBILLON FLOW | 7.9% | 12.71 | 14 |
| 6 | 7 | FALCON COURT | 7.6% | 13.09 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | DASH AVENUE | 6.5% | 15.27 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORY B | 5.8% | 17.31 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | JAMES TAK | 5.6% | 17.83 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | RED ELEGANCE | 4.8% | 20.76 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 3.2% | 31.28 | 2 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.1% | 32.19 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | HAYDAY | 3.1% | 32.48 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | MR GOOD VIBES | 0.5% | 185.47 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 65.5
PLACE
9 24
11 21.5
14 41.5
QUINELLA
9,14 541.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 90.5
9,14 154.5
11,14 115
FORECAST
9,14 1,035
TIERCE
9,14,11 7,816
TRIO
9,11,14 1,124
FIRST 4
9,10,11,14 1,208
QUARTET
9,14,11,10 34,873
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
10/9 746
10/14 229.5