跑馬地 · 2023-12-20 · 15:00
第 8場
2023-12-20跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、P C Ng訓練的HEALTHY HEALTHY勝出，贏出1-1/2。O'LINER獲得亞軍；LIGHTNING BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HEALTHY HEALTHY TT 1.09.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | O'LINER P/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 8 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 11 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | ACT OF FAITH B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPERB KID K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 9 | 136.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART B/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 10 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | GIDDY UP B-/H/PC1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 2 | 4.3 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | JOLLY RULER H L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 3 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI H1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 115.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | O'LINER | 23.9% | 4.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 15.9% | 6.27 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | GIDDY UP | 14.4% | 6.95 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 7.3% | 13.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | ACT OF FAITH | 7.2% | 13.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 5.8% | 17.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | JOLLY RULER | 4.5% | 22.16 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART | 4.2% | 24.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 1.9% | 52.13 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPERB KID | 0.8% | 121.42 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI | 0.7% | 141.90 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 38
PLACE
4 35.5
6 18.5
12 18
QUINELLA
6,12 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 114
4,12 104
6,12 41.5
FORECAST
12,6 230
TIERCE
12,6,4 2,097
TRIO
4,6,12 460
FIRST 4
4,5,6,12 1,658
QUARTET
12,6,4,5 27,011
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
10/9/6 159
10/9/12 1,648
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/4,6,12 42,441
7TH DOUBLE
9/6 27
9/12 314.5
SIX UP
8/11/7/10/9/12 1,797,455
8,12/8,11/7,8/4,10/1,9/6,12 27,503
2 [P C Ng] —
2 [Z Purton] —