跑馬地 · 2023-12-20 · 13:50
第 6場
2023-12-20跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的TO INFINITY勝出，贏出N。RED HARE KING獲得亞軍；SIMPLY MAVERICK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門SIMPLY MAVERICK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TO INFINITY 後段發力 B/TT 1.41.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 4 | RED HARE KING TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK 後段發力 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MR ALADDIN B-/CP1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO B-/PC1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE 後段發力 B2/TT2 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 89.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND 早段領放 M L Yeung · M Newnham | M L Yeung | M Newnham | 7 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 94.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CHOICERUS B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 23.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SIR HURRICANE CP1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 135.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GALLANT CROWN K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 22.5% | 4.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 18.6% | 5.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO | 15.2% | 6.58 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | MR ALADDIN | 10.8% | 9.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | RED HARE KING | 10.7% | 9.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | NOBLE WIN | 5.9% | 16.84 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE | 5.3% | 18.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | CHOICERUS | 4.3% | 23.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 2.3% | 44.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | SPARKY STAR | 2.1% | 47.58 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 1.8% | 55.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | SIR HURRICANE | 0.4% | 253.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 73.5
PLACE
2 14
4 19.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
4,10 145.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 31.5
2,10 37
4,10 52
FORECAST
10,4 353
TIERCE
10,4,2 837
TRIO
2,4,10 111
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 271
QUARTET
10,4,2,8 8,826
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/2,4,10 1,565
5TH DOUBLE
7/4 86
7/10 533.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,11/6,7,8/2,4,10 1,842,015
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,11/6,7,8/Any Combination 15,730