Happy Valley · 2023-12-20 · 21:46
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ALADDIN B-/CP1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO B-/PC1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly B2/TT2 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 89.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND Led early M L Yeung · M Newnham | M L Yeung | M Newnham | 7 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 94.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHOICERUS B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 23.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SIR HURRICANE CP1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 135.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GALLANT CROWN K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TO INFINITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by N, with RED HARE KING second and SIMPLY MAVERICK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SIMPLY MAVERICK finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 22.5% | 4.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 18.6% | 5.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 15.2% | 6.58 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ALADDIN | 10.8% | 9.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 10.7% | 9.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE WIN | 5.9% | 16.84 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 5.3% | 18.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHOICERUS | 4.3% | 23.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 2.3% | 44.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 2.1% | 47.58 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 1.8% | 55.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SIR HURRICANE | 0.4% | 253.50 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 73.5
PLACE
2 14
4 19.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
4,10 145.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 31.5
2,10 37
4,10 52
FORECAST
10,4 353
TIERCE
10,4,2 837
TRIO
2,4,10 111
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 271
QUARTET
10,4,2,8 8,826
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/2,4,10 1,565
5TH DOUBLE
7/4 86
7/10 533.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,11/6,7,8/2,4,10 1,842,015
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,11/6,7,8/Any Combination 15,730