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Happy Valley · 2023-12-20 · 14:20

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASY SNIP, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with JUMBO LEGEND second and BEAUTY INFINITY third. The 4.2 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.32
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 EASY SNIP B 1.10.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung 2 4.5 1
2 1 JUMBO LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 1 4.2 1
3 4 BEAUTY INFINITY A Atzeni · J Size 7 9.7 2-1/4
4 8 TALENTS SUPREMO TT Z Purton · W K Mo 12 9.2 2-1/2
5 10 DIAMOND FLARE B Y L Chung · M Newnham 8 7.8 2-3/4
6 3 TELECOM SPEED L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 6 8.3 3
7 12 FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 9 19.0 3-3/4
8 2 EXUBERANT B/TT J McDonald · C S Shum 11 11.0 4
9 7 KING OBERON H1 K De Melo · K H Ting 4 79.0 5
10 11 THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 10 32.0 5-1/2
11 5 FAST AS ROCKET TT1 C L Chau · W Y So 3 9.9 7-1/2
12 6 HAPPY FEELING SR/B1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 5 109.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EASY SNIP2. JUMBO LEGEND+1L3. BEAUTY INFINITY+2.25L4. TALENTS SUPREMO+2.5L5. DIAMOND FLARE+2.75L6. TELECOM SPEED+3L7. FLAMING EAGLE+3.75L8. EXUBERANT+4L9. KING OBERON+5L10. THE GOOD DEAL+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TALENTS SUPREMO (14.9%) finished 4th — the winner EASY SNIP was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 TALENTS SUPREMO 14.9% 6.70 4
2 9 EASY SNIP 14.9% 6.71 1
3 1 JUMBO LEGEND 12.0% 8.33 2
4 3 TELECOM SPEED 8.9% 11.23 6
5 2 EXUBERANT 8.7% 11.44 8
6 4 BEAUTY INFINITY 8.7% 11.52 3
7 12 FLAMING EAGLE 7.9% 12.59 7
8 10 DIAMOND FLARE 6.5% 15.30 5
9 11 THE GOOD DEAL 5.8% 17.30 10
10 7 KING OBERON 5.7% 17.56 9
11 5 FAST AS ROCKET 5.1% 19.56 11
12 6 HAPPY FEELING 0.8% 127.44 12
TALENTS SUPREMOEASY SNIP — wonJUMBO LEGENDTELECOM SPEEDEXUBERANTBEAUTY INFINITYFLAMING EAGLEDIAMOND FLARETHE GOOD DEALKING OBERONFAST AS ROCKETHAPPY FEELING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 45

PLACE

1 16.5

4 27.5

9 19

QUINELLA

1,9 106.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 79.5

1,9 41

4,9 108.5

FORECAST

9,1 273

TIERCE

9,1,4 1,760

TRIO

1,4,9 390

FIRST 4

1,4,8,9 516

QUARTET

9,1,4,8 11,756

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

10/1 44.5

10/9 294.5