Happy Valley · 2023-12-20 · 13:15
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-20 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with GALAXY WITNESS second and CHILL CHIBI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite CHILL CHIBI finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.41.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | KEEFY TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI | 42.8% | 2.34 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 15.8% | 6.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER | 14.4% | 6.94 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS | 10.3% | 9.75 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES | 8.7% | 11.53 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 3.6% | 28.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.7% | 37.05 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | KEEFY | 1.8% | 56.40 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 83.5
PLACE
6 11
7 17.5
8 21.5
QUINELLA
7,8 279
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 25
6,8 26
7,8 62.5
FORECAST
7,8 546
TIERCE
7,8,6 1,086
TRIO
6,7,8 104
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 162
QUARTET
7,8,6,3 7,679
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/11/7 5,073
8/11/8 1,637
4TH DOUBLE
11/7 1,424.5
11/8 387