跑馬地 · 2023-12-20 · 12:45
第 4場
2023-12-20跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、P C Ng訓練的LIFE IS GOOD勝出，贏出1-1/2。LUCKY QUALITY獲得亞軍；SAVVY DELIGHT獲得季軍。4.7倍大熱門DIAMOND SOARS跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LIFE IS GOOD XB/P1/H2/TT 0.57.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 8 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | KING INVINCIBLE B1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PACKING PROSPECT TT1 J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GREAT ACHIEVER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 97.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE SR-/B2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | GUSTY FIGHTER TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | TIMESTORM A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 5.3 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TIMESTORM | 13.9% | 7.19 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS | 13.3% | 7.51 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 11.4% | 8.77 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING PROSPECT | 10.3% | 9.73 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | KING INVINCIBLE | 9.6% | 10.37 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 9.1% | 10.99 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY | 8.7% | 11.52 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 7.9% | 12.68 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 6.3% | 15.83 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 3.9% | 25.62 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.1% | 32.63 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | LIFE IS GOOD | 2.5% | 40.28 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 186.5
PLACE
2 35.5
8 64.5
11 52
QUINELLA
8,11 1,560
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 299.5
2,11 290
8,11 530
FORECAST
11,8 3,121
TIERCE
11,8,2 27,702
TRIO
2,8,11 4,765
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 9,286
QUARTET
11,8,2,5 199,653
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,12/2,8,11 1,277,664
3RD DOUBLE
8/8 108.5
8/11 500.5