沙田 · 2023-12-23 · 07:40
第 6場
2023-12-23沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的FIGHTING MACHINE勝出，贏出3/4。PERFETTO獲得亞軍；HAPPY FOR ALL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR 1.23.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | PERFETTO 後段發力 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 11 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY FOR ALL 後段發力 H-/B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 6 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA 後段發力 B-/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 XB-/B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 13 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | MAXIMIZE HEART 後段發力 V A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | NATURAL GOLD 早段領放 B-/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 後段發力 B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 132.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RED MAVERICK H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 128.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | SUPER TEN XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 58.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | BEYOND TURBO B1/TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 90.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | NATURAL GOLD | 11.1% | 9.00 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.7% | 10.35 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 8.5% | 11.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | BEYOND TURBO | 7.9% | 12.66 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 6.9% | 14.59 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFETTO | 5.9% | 16.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 14 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.4% | 22.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 2.5% | 40.31 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPER TEN | 1.4% | 69.88 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 0.8% | 125.76 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 0.8% | 131.91 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 20.5
PLACE
3 48
4 43
10 11.5
QUINELLA
3,10 287.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 350.5
3,10 100
4,10 71
FORECAST
10,3 423
TIERCE
10,3,4 3,812
TRIO
3,4,10 1,202
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 1,270
QUARTET
10,3,4,2 20,655
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/3,4,10 46,945
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 138
2/10 156
TRIPLE TRIO
1,11,13/2,5,7/3,4,10 3,160,135
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,13/2,5,7/Any Combination 2,872