Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 07:40
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FIGHTING MACHINE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with PERFETTO second and HAPPY FOR ALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR 1.23.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | PERFETTO Closed strongly A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 11 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY FOR ALL Closed strongly H-/B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 6 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA Closed strongly B-/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly XB-/B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 13 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly V A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | NATURAL GOLD Led early B-/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Closed strongly B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 132.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR V/XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RED MAVERICK H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 128.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | SUPER TEN XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 58.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | BEYOND TURBO B1/TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 90.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | NATURAL GOLD | 11.1% | 9.00 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.7% | 10.35 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 8.5% | 11.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | BEYOND TURBO | 7.9% | 12.66 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 6.9% | 14.59 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFETTO | 5.9% | 16.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 14 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.4% | 22.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 2.5% | 40.31 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPER TEN | 1.4% | 69.88 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 0.8% | 125.76 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 0.8% | 131.91 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 20.5
PLACE
3 48
4 43
10 11.5
QUINELLA
3,10 287.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 350.5
3,10 100
4,10 71
FORECAST
10,3 423
TIERCE
10,3,4 3,812
TRIO
3,4,10 1,202
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 1,270
QUARTET
10,3,4,2 20,655
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/3,4,10 46,945
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 138
2/10 156
TRIPLE TRIO
1,11,13/2,5,7/3,4,10 3,160,135
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,13/2,5,7/Any Combination 2,872