Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORDIC STAR Closed strongly B1/TT 1.39.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 4.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER Led early H/TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 2 | 4.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 28.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO H/XB K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 7 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V-/XB/PC2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | M M NEBULA CP/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NINJA DERBY XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 76.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. NORDIC STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with LUCKY BANNER second and BLISSFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite LUCKY BANNER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORDIC STAR | 25.3% | 3.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL ARE MINE | 16.0% | 6.24 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 13.0% | 7.70 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 11.8% | 8.50 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 7.3% | 13.65 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.9% | 14.48 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 4.7% | 21.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 4.4% | 22.81 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 3.9% | 25.61 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.4% | 29.80 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | NINJA DERBY | 2.2% | 46.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO | 1.2% | 83.88 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 49
PLACE
2 19.5
5 33.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
2,7 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 120
2,7 53.5
5,7 92.5
FORECAST
2,7 260
TIERCE
2,7,5 2,056
TRIO
2,5,7 466
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 2,055
QUARTET
2,7,5,9 33,785
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/11/2 1,789
10/11/7 300
4TH DOUBLE
11/2 256
11/7 42