Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL HUNTER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and SWIFT ASCEND third. The 2.9 favourite I GIVE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 7 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 145.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | I GIVE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | COTTON FINGERS TT J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 2 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT NINE H1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR B/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 8 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | SPEED SWORD TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | PULSAR STRIDER TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 74.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | TRUE GENIUS H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 92.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | I GIVE | 29.0% | 3.44 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | COTTON FINGERS | 17.0% | 5.90 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 11.5% | 8.70 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEED SWORD | 7.2% | 13.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND | 5.7% | 17.57 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR | 4.9% | 20.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | TRUE GENIUS | 3.4% | 29.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | PULSAR STRIDER | 2.0% | 49.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 1.6% | 63.69 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 43
PLACE
6 15.5
7 220
11 39.5
QUINELLA
6,7 2,498.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 782.5
6,11 90
7,11 1,779
FORECAST
6,7 3,862
TIERCE
6,7,11 45,683
TRIO
6,7,11 11,223
FIRST 4
6,7,9,11 12,661
QUARTET
6,7,11,9 262,990
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/6,7,11 307,683
7TH DOUBLE
10/6 141.5
10/7 504