Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 09:50
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LESLIE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and THE HEIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite THE HEIR finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LESLIE Closed strongly B 1.22.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 56.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | THE HEIR Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 14 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SILVER UP Closed strongly B1/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 98.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | BONUS PAL B1 K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 5 | 80.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 7 | E LEGEND L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 13 | 75.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PINS PRINCE | 24.0% | 4.17 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 14.1% | 7.08 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 12.2% | 8.21 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | THE HEIR | 9.0% | 11.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 7.5% | 13.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | MASSIVE ACTION | 6.1% | 16.45 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | LESLIE | 4.5% | 22.23 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | BONUS PAL | 4.2% | 24.04 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | SILVER UP | 3.4% | 29.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | E LEGEND | 3.3% | 29.93 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | CHARITY BINGO | 3.3% | 30.50 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT | 3.0% | 33.18 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 2.9% | 34.49 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | PARTERRE | 2.5% | 39.90 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 562
PLACE
2 17.5
6 16
13 108
QUINELLA
2,13 926.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 33
2,13 264
6,13 272.5
FORECAST
13,2 2,853
TIERCE
13,2,6 10,754
TRIO
2,6,13 874
FIRST 4
1,2,6,13 2,779
QUARTET
13,2,6,1 119,141
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/7/2 118
6/7/13 7,355
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,14/2,6,13 27,294
9TH DOUBLE
7/2 28.5
7/13 1,814
SIX UP
2,7/3,10/2,10/6,7/7,14/2,13 2,119
2/10/10/6/7/13 153,992
1 [P C Ng] —
2 [Z Purton] —