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Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LESLIE Closed strongly B 1.22.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang 10 56.0 1-1/4
2 0 BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 3 4.0 1-1/4
3 0 THE HEIR Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 3.7 1-1/2
4 0 MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 9.8 2-1/4
5 0 MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V E C W Wong · F C Lor 8 12.0 2-1/4
6 0 PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So 9 30.0 2-3/4
7 0 SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall 14 18.0 3-1/2
8 0 RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 2 11.0 3-1/2
9 0 CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly A Atzeni · C S Shum 7 42.0 3-3/4
10 0 PINS PRINCE H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size 1 5.1 4-1/4
11 0 SILVER UP Closed strongly B1/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 6 98.0 5
12 0 BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 4 14.0 5-1/2
13 0 BONUS PAL B1 K De Melo · P C Ng 5 80.0 6
14 0 E LEGEND L Ferraris · K L Man 13 75.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LESLIE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and THE HEIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite THE HEIR finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LESLIE—2. BEAUTY CRESCENT+1.25L3. THE HEIR+1.5L4. MIGHTY STRIDE+2.25L5. MASSIVE ACTION+2.25L6. PARTERRE+2.75L7. SOLID IMPACT+3.5L8. RATTAN KINGDOM+3.5L9. CHARITY BINGO+3.75L10. PINS PRINCE+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick PINS PRINCE (24.0%) finished 10th — the winner LESLIE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PINS PRINCE 24.0% 4.17 10
2 0 BEAUTY CRESCENT 14.1% 7.08 2
3 0 MIGHTY STRIDE 12.2% 8.21 4
4 0 THE HEIR 9.0% 11.06 3
5 0 RATTAN KINGDOM 7.5% 13.32 8
6 0 MASSIVE ACTION 6.1% 16.45 5
7 0 LESLIE 4.5% 22.23 1
8 0 BONUS PAL 4.2% 24.04 13
9 0 SILVER UP 3.4% 29.81 11
10 0 E LEGEND 3.3% 29.93 14
11 0 CHARITY BINGO 3.3% 30.50 9
12 0 SOLID IMPACT 3.0% 33.18 7
13 0 BEAUTY CHAMP 2.9% 34.49 12
14 0 PARTERRE 2.5% 39.90 6
PINS PRINCEBEAUTY CRESCENTMIGHTY STRIDETHE HEIRRATTAN KINGDOMMASSIVE ACTIONLESLIE — wonBONUS PALSILVER UPE LEGENDCHARITY BINGOSOLID IMPACTBEAUTY CHAMPPARTERRE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 562

PLACE

2 17.5

6 16

13 108

QUINELLA

2,13 926.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 33

2,13 264

6,13 272.5

FORECAST

13,2 2,853

TIERCE

13,2,6 10,754

TRIO

2,6,13 874

FIRST 4

1,2,6,13 2,779

QUARTET

13,2,6,1 119,141

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

6/7/2 118

6/7/13 7,355

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,14/2,6,13 27,294

9TH DOUBLE

7/2 28.5

7/13 1,814

SIX UP

2,7/3,10/2,10/6,7/7,14/2,13 2,119

2/10/10/6/7/13 153,992

2 [Z Purton] —

1 [P C Ng] —