Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 05:45
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VANTASTIC CHOICE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C H Yip, won by 1, with RUBY SAILING second and TOP PEAK third. The 4.1 favourite GANGNAM STAR finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VANTASTIC CHOICE B- 1.10.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | RUBY SAILING B-/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | TOP PEAK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 72.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUNLIGHT POWER CP/H K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GANGNAM STAR TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 4.1 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING BO/H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 122.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | V LOVE YOU TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 107.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 6 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MULAN B1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 138.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 18.3% | 5.48 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | SECOND TO NONE | 13.6% | 7.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | GANGNAM STAR | 13.3% | 7.49 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | TOP PEAK | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 7.9% | 12.64 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | MY INTELLIGENT | 7.9% | 12.66 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 7.4% | 13.52 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 7.2% | 13.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | V LOVE YOU | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | RUBY SAILING | 5.1% | 19.53 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | DIVINE SHINING | 2.6% | 38.95 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | MULAN | 0.8% | 117.71 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 75
PLACE
5 44
7 134
12 25
QUINELLA
5,12 698
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 1,016.5
5,12 204
7,12 556
FORECAST
12,5 1,182
TIERCE
12,5,7 33,897
TRIO
5,7,12 7,939
FIRST 4
5,6,7,12 12,507
QUARTET
12,5,7,6 292,838
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/5 120.5
11/12 553.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/5,7,12 658,341