Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ADEFILL Closed strongly B 1.38.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu 3 3.6 N
2 0 FRANTANCK Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng 11 6.1 N
3 0 PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 5 10.0 2
4 0 YELLOWFIN Led early XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 4.1 2
5 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang 14 16.0 4-1/2
6 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT Closed strongly PC Z Purton · J Size 12 37.0 4-3/4
7 0 SOLAR GOGO M L Yeung · D J Hall 1 147.0 5-3/4
8 0 CHING L Hewitson · C W Chang 2 4.7 7
9 0 ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly CP2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 10 246.0 8-3/4
10 0 FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung 8 18.0 13-3/4
11 0 LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 158.0 16
12 0 KIMBERLEY PC/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 7 31.0 19-1/2
13 0 TRUE LEGEND B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 4 117.0 29-3/4
14 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 6 45.0 38-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with FRANTANCK second and PERFECT TEAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ADEFILL—2. FRANTANCK+0.05L3. PERFECT TEAM+2L4. YELLOWFIN+2L5. SO WE JOY+4.5L6. SEIZING THE MOMENT+4.75L7. SOLAR GOGO+5.75L8. CHING+7L9. ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE+8.75L10. FIERY DIAMOND+13.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick YELLOWFIN (20.7%) finished 4th — the winner ADEFILL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 YELLOWFIN 20.7% 4.83 4
2 0 ADEFILL 14.5% 6.91 1
3 0 FRANTANCK 11.6% 8.62 2
4 0 FIERY DIAMOND 9.3% 10.76 10
5 0 CHING 8.8% 11.35 8
6 0 PERFECT TEAM 8.2% 12.26 3
7 0 SO WE JOY 7.0% 14.27 5
8 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT 6.9% 14.39 6
9 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 5.2% 19.34 14
10 0 TRUE LEGEND 2.9% 34.56 13
11 0 KIMBERLEY 2.5% 39.38 12
12 0 LOVERO 1.0% 101.11 11
13 0 SOLAR GOGO 0.7% 139.10 7
14 0 ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE 0.7% 142.73 9
YELLOWFINADEFILL — wonFRANTANCKFIERY DIAMONDCHINGPERFECT TEAMSO WE JOYSEIZING THE MOMENTEVERYONE'S DELIGHTTRUE LEGENDKIMBERLEYLOVEROSOLAR GOGOABSOLUTE SUNSHINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 36

PLACE

6 30

7 14.5

14 20.5

QUINELLA

7,14 122

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 60.5

6,14 136

7,14 51

FORECAST

7,14 244

TIERCE

7,14,6 1,699

TRIO

6,7,14 427

FIRST 4

4,6,7,14 367

QUARTET

7,14,6,4 9,175

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

6/7 186

6/14 45