Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with FRANTANCK second and PERFECT TEAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B 1.38.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 14 | FRANTANCK Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | YELLOWFIN Led early XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 14 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SEIZING THE MOMENT Closed strongly PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SOLAR GOGO M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 1 | 147.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHING L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 4.7 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly CP2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 246.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 158.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 11 | KIMBERLEY PC/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 31.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | TRUE LEGEND B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 117.0 | 29-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 45.0 | 38-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YELLOWFIN | 20.7% | 4.83 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | ADEFILL | 14.5% | 6.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | FRANTANCK | 11.6% | 8.62 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 9.3% | 10.76 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | CHING | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | PERFECT TEAM | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SO WE JOY | 7.0% | 14.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 6.9% | 14.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 5.2% | 19.34 | 14 |
| 10 | 2 | TRUE LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.56 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | KIMBERLEY | 2.5% | 39.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | LOVERO | 1.0% | 101.11 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | SOLAR GOGO | 0.7% | 139.10 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 0.7% | 142.73 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 36
PLACE
6 30
7 14.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
7,14 122
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 60.5
6,14 136
7,14 51
FORECAST
7,14 244
TIERCE
7,14,6 1,699
TRIO
6,7,14 427
FIRST 4
4,6,7,14 367
QUARTET
7,14,6,4 9,175
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/7 186
6/14 45