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Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 14:31

Race 4

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.36.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT 1.36.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng 1 5.4 1-3/4
2 0 ANGELS HUNTER Closed strongly V-/B2/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 4 8.8 1-3/4
3 0 DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B- E C W Wong · D A Hayes 6 12.0 2
4 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 5 14.0 2
5 0 BOOM ALLIANCE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 2 14.0 2-3/4
6 0 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung 8 4.7 3
7 0 SUPER CONTENTED Closed strongly TT K De Melo · C Fownes 9 10.0 3
8 0 BAEBAE TSOI CP2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 44.0 4-1/4
9 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER PC1/TT2 L Hewitson · P F Yiu 11 13.0 4-1/4
10 0 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM XB-/H/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 14 48.0 5
11 0 MASTER OF LUCK B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 15.0 7
12 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Z Purton · C W Chang 10 8.0 7-1/2
13 0 HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 12 23.0 7-1/2
14 0 DEVIL AND GOLD Y L Chung · C H Yip 7 24.0 14
— 0 DARCI LEGEND C Y Ho · K W Lui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STARSHIP EIGHTY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-3/4, with ANGELS HUNTER second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite PRECISION GOAL finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STARSHIP EIGHTY—2. ANGELS HUNTER+1.75L3. DRAGON DELIGHT+2L4. UNITED ENDEAVORS+2L5. BOOM ALLIANCE+2.75L6. PRECISION GOAL+3L7. SUPER CONTENTED+3L8. BAEBAE TSOI+4.25L9. BRILLIANT PIONEER+4.25L10. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick STARSHIP EIGHTY (25.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY 25.8% 3.87 1
2 0 BOOM ALLIANCE 14.8% 6.75 5
3 0 PRECISION GOAL 8.1% 12.28 6
4 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 7.8% 12.84 12
5 0 ANGELS HUNTER 7.3% 13.69 2
6 0 MASTER OF LUCK 6.6% 15.04 11
7 0 HANG'S CHOICE 5.1% 19.65 13
8 0 SUPER CONTENTED 5.1% 19.74 7
9 0 BRILLIANT PIONEER 4.7% 21.26 9
10 0 DEVIL AND GOLD 3.9% 25.86 14
11 0 DRAGON DELIGHT 3.6% 27.96 3
12 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS 3.5% 28.96 4
13 0 BAEBAE TSOI 2.0% 50.40 8
14 0 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 1.8% 56.68 10
STARSHIP EIGHTY — wonBOOM ALLIANCEPRECISION GOALPRESIDENT'S CHOICEANGELS HUNTERMASTER OF LUCKHANG'S CHOICESUPER CONTENTEDBRILLIANT PIONEERDEVIL AND GOLDDRAGON DELIGHTUNITED ENDEAVORSBAEBAE TSOIARTHUR'S KINGDOM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 54

PLACE

1 34

11 20.5

13 29.5

QUINELLA

11,13 223.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 95.5

1,13 155.5

11,13 83.5

FORECAST

11,13 436

TIERCE

11,13,1 3,707

TRIO

1,11,13 695

FIRST 4

1,4,11,13 2,220

QUARTET

11,13,1,4 38,139

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,10/1,11,13 34,708

3RD DOUBLE

10/11 498.5

10/13 99.5