Sha Tin · 2023-12-23 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V 2.04.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly B2 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER DAPPER H/SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | VINCY SR/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Led early TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 4 | 8.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 1 | 50.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-23 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. JUBILATION, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/2, with WONDER YEARS second and NICHOLSON RETURNS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite MISTER DAPPER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISTER DAPPER | 16.9% | 5.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 13.3% | 7.54 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY | 10.7% | 9.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 9.5% | 10.51 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | JUBILATION | 8.6% | 11.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 7.3% | 13.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 7.2% | 13.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.1% | 19.77 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.8% | 26.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | VINCY | 3.5% | 28.22 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 77
PLACE
2 16
4 39.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
4,11 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 87
2,11 58
4,11 127.5
FORECAST
11,4 802
TIERCE
11,4,2 3,832
TRIO
2,4,11 555
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 2,355
QUARTET
11,4,2,6 50,117