跑馬地 · 2023-12-29 · 13:15
第 5場
2023-12-29跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的LYRICAL MOTION勝出，贏出2。HAPPY TRIO獲得亞軍；HIGH RISE SOLDIER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT 1.09.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY TRIO B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | COLONEL V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | TATTENHAM K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | KILINDINI H/TT J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 8 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | WINNING HEART B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HERO STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 4.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FURY AND GOLD A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 55.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 7.4 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION | 23.4% | 4.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SEE U AGAIN | 12.1% | 8.26 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 11.0% | 9.09 | 12 |
| 4 | 2 | KILINDINI | 9.0% | 11.16 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY TRIO | 8.5% | 11.71 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.9% | 12.63 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | WINNING HEART | 7.6% | 13.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | TATTENHAM | 5.8% | 17.23 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | COLONEL | 5.2% | 19.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | HERO STAR | 3.9% | 25.64 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.9% | 34.81 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | FURY AND GOLD | 2.6% | 37.83 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 32.5
PLACE
3 47.5
4 39
12 15
QUINELLA
3,12 311
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 290
3,12 85
4,12 102
FORECAST
12,3 518
TIERCE
12,3,4 4,413
TRIO
3,4,12 1,206
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 3,626
QUARTET
12,3,4,11 57,719
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/12/3 18,627
6/12/12 45,238
4TH DOUBLE
12/3 1,481
12/12 1,756.5