沙田 · 2024-01-13 · 07:40
第 6場
2024-01-13沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的HOLY LAKE勝出，贏出1/2。ARIEL獲得亞軍；LUCKY ETERNITY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門BEATO跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HOLY LAKE 後段發力 B/XB 1.36.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ARIEL 早段領放 CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY 後段發力 CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 7 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BEER PALACE 後段發力 B K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 4 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | CHATEAU 後段發力 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | BEATO B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ROBOT FIGHTER C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | G LINER H/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 14 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 42.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | UP AND UP TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 111.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | NORTHERN BEAST B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEATO | 19.9% | 5.02 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 12.2% | 8.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | CHATEAU | 9.9% | 10.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | HOLY LAKE | 9.2% | 10.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | ARIEL | 8.8% | 11.37 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEER PALACE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | G LINER | 6.5% | 15.29 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 5.2% | 19.34 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.0% | 20.06 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.1% | 24.56 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR | 4.0% | 24.94 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | WINNING STEPS | 3.7% | 26.95 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 2.0% | 49.46 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | UP AND UP | 1.2% | 85.00 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 110.5
PLACE
1 34
4 29
7 19.5
QUINELLA
1,4 494
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 147
1,7 92
4,7 120
FORECAST
1,4 973
TIERCE
1,4,7 5,692
TRIO
1,4,7 1,024
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 2,339
QUARTET
1,4,7,2 61,279
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,4,7 128,576
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 475
8/4 96.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,5,6,9/7,8,9/1,4,7 1,550,446
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,5,6,9/7,8,9/Any Combination 817