沙田 · 2024-01-13 · 06:40
第 4場
2024-01-13沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的SUPER COMMANDER勝出，贏出1。LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得亞軍；JAMES TAK獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門JAMES TAK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT 0.57.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 7.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LIFELINE EXPRESS A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | JAMES TAK E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 6 | 1.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | CHILLI BABA B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | LESS IS MORE TT1 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | TIMESTORM B2 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | WINNING GOLD H/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 169.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 105.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE H-/CP1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 43.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 43.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 56.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 2 | METRO WARRIOR Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | DEEP PURSUIT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JAMES TAK | 33.0% | 3.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 15.2% | 6.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | LESS IS MORE | 14.9% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER | 8.9% | 11.23 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | CHILLI BABA | 5.6% | 17.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 5.5% | 18.23 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT | 4.8% | 20.78 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | TIMESTORM | 4.7% | 21.15 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE | 4.0% | 24.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.7% | 59.91 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | WINNING GOLD | 0.9% | 110.25 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR | 0.7% | 152.11 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 78
PLACE
1 10.1
5 17
9 17.5
QUINELLA
5,9 260.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 25.5
1,9 21.5
5,9 73
FORECAST
5,9 520
TIERCE
5,9,1 1,022
TRIO
1,5,9 108
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 114
QUARTET
5,9,1,11 4,885
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,2,5,6,9 1,289
3RD DOUBLE
3/5 868.5
3/9 40.5