Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOLY LAKE Closed strongly B/XB 1.36.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ARIEL Led early CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 7 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 4 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATEAU Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BEATO B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROBOT FIGHTER C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | G LINER H/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 14 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 42.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | UP AND UP TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 111.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HOLY LAKE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with ARIEL second and LUCKY ETERNITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite BEATO finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEATO | 19.9% | 5.02 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 12.2% | 8.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CHATEAU | 9.9% | 10.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY LAKE | 9.2% | 10.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ARIEL | 8.8% | 11.37 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEER PALACE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | G LINER | 6.5% | 15.29 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 5.2% | 19.34 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.0% | 20.06 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.1% | 24.56 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 4.0% | 24.94 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 3.7% | 26.95 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 2.0% | 49.46 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | UP AND UP | 1.2% | 85.00 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 110.5
PLACE
1 34
4 29
7 19.5
QUINELLA
1,4 494
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 147
1,7 92
4,7 120
FORECAST
1,4 973
TIERCE
1,4,7 5,692
TRIO
1,4,7 1,024
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 2,339
QUARTET
1,4,7,2 61,279
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,4,7 128,576
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 475
8/4 96.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,5,6,9/7,8,9/1,4,7 1,550,446
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,5,6,9/7,8,9/Any Combination 817