Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 17:14
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE B-/PC1 Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR MAC Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 14 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | NOT A FEW Closed strongly SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 259.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | WINDICATOR FAMILY H H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 145.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE H/TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 5 | 52.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING Led early M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 191.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | EIGHTEEN CARAT B1/XB1 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 12 | 136.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FALLON, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SIMPLE HEDGE second and GOLDEN ARTIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite CHANCHENG GLORY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 26.7% | 3.75 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 20.9% | 4.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 7.9% | 12.62 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 7.8% | 12.75 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION | 7.1% | 14.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR MAC | 4.6% | 21.84 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | FALLON | 3.1% | 32.38 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 2.4% | 41.33 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 2.2% | 45.45 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 0.7% | 135.83 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | NOT A FEW | 0.4% | 240.69 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.4% | 265.88 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 154.5
PLACE
5 15
6 33.5
11 43.5
QUINELLA
5,11 302
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 74.5
5,11 96.5
6,11 207
FORECAST
11,5 809
TIERCE
11,5,6 7,224
TRIO
5,6,11 900
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 591
QUARTET
11,5,6,2 25,257
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 56.5
4/11 811