Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly H/TT 1.23.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND Closed strongly B2/TT2 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 9 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FIRE BALL Closed strongly CP Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DASHING GLORY XB-/B/TT2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT DAYS CP-/XB/H1/P1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DARCI LEGEND Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 13 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | EAGLE RUN CP/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER HORNET Led early PC-/XB/B2/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 1 | 29.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | NOIR RIDER B-/XB K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 7 | 44.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND CP1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 39.0 | 26-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TSUEN WAN GLORY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with SMART BEAUTY second and DIAMOND DIAMOND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite DRAGON DELIGHT finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 14.3% | 6.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 12.6% | 7.91 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 8.6% | 11.69 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 8.2% | 12.25 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.7% | 14.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | EAGLE RUN | 6.2% | 16.15 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 6.1% | 16.50 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 5.9% | 16.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT DAYS | 5.5% | 18.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 4.9% | 20.51 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | NOIR RIDER | 4.0% | 25.04 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | DASHING GLORY | 3.0% | 33.80 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | DARCI LEGEND | 2.7% | 36.96 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 72
PLACE
1 48
13 24
14 20.5
QUINELLA
13,14 183
QUINELLA PLACE
1,13 185
1,14 161.5
13,14 58.5
FORECAST
13,14 390
TIERCE
13,14,1 4,517
TRIO
1,13,14 855
FIRST 4
1,5,13,14 1,013
QUARTET
13,14,1,5 22,324