Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. SECOND TO NONE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with TOP SCORER second and MASTER MASTERMIND third. The 2.2 favourite TOP SCORER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SECOND TO NONE 1.10.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 8.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | TOP SCORER Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | MASTER MASTERMIND K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 11 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORIOUS EXPERT TT1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | KING OBERON H K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 9 | 148.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MR MAESTRO XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 12 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 10 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE B-/H-/V1 Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 2 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CRAZY TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 135.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOP SCORER | 37.1% | 2.69 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 13.9% | 7.17 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | SECOND TO NONE | 10.7% | 9.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | MR MAESTRO | 7.2% | 13.84 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING | 6.6% | 15.14 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 6.4% | 15.56 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 5.5% | 18.12 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | BALLISTIC WIN | 4.9% | 20.40 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.9% | 34.28 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | CRAZY TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | KING OBERON | 1.3% | 76.56 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU | 0.9% | 113.97 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 88
PLACE
1 11.5
8 13
9 21
QUINELLA
1,9 87
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 19
1,9 34
8,9 45.5
FORECAST
9,1 278
TIERCE
9,1,8 718
TRIO
1,8,9 62
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 177
QUARTET
9,1,8,3 5,307
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/1 27
13/9 330.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,13,14/1,8,9 6,098